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Monday, May 25, 2009

Auburn baseball left out of NCAA tournament

Auburn's slim postseason hopes were dashed on Selection Monday, when the Tigers were not one of 64 teams selected for the NCAA tournament field.

The Tigers (31-25) hoped a decent RPI and strength of schedule (34th and 9th nationally according to WarrenNolan.com) would overshadow a poor SEC record (11-19).

Auburn has not qualified for the NCAA tournament since 2005.

Top 8 seeds in the tournament
  1. Texas
  2. Cal-State Fullerton
  3. LSU
  4. North Carolina
  5. Arizona State
  6. UC Irvine
  7. Oklahoma
  8. Florida
Here's the full field (the host school is listed first, followed by the second, third and fourth seeds)
  • Texas, Texas State, Boston College, Army
  • TCU, Texas A&M, Oregon State, Wright State
  • Georgia Tech, Elon, Southern Miss, Georgia State
  • Florida, Miami (Fla), Jacksonville, Bethune-Cookman
  • Arizona State, Oral Roberts, Cal Poly, Kent State
  • Clemson, Alabama, Oklahoma State, Tennessee Tech
  • East Carolina, South Carolina, George Mason, Binghamton
  • North Carolina, Coastal Carolina, Kansas, Dartmouth
  • Cal State Fullerton, Georgia Southern, Gonzaga, Utah
  • Louisville, Middle Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Indiana
  • Florida State, Georgia, Ohio State, Marist
  • Oklahoma, Arkansas, Washington State, Wichita State
  • UC Irvine, Virginia, San Diego State, Fresno State
  • Ole Miss, Missouri, Western Kentucky, Monmouth
  • Rice, Kansas State, Xavier, Sam Houston State
  • LSU, Minnesota, Baylor, Southern
UPDATE: Just checked on some of the numbers, using WarrenNolan.com as my source. Auburn had the highest RPI (34) and strength of schedule (9) of any team left out of the tournament.

ESPN mentioned Baylor and Western Kentucky as two borderline teams to get in. Baylor went 29-24 overall, 10-16 in the Big 12 and had an RPI of 31 and SOS of 7. In other words, the Bears had an almost identical resume to the Tigers. Although it should be noted that Baylor had both a better RPI and SOS, however slight that advantage was.

Western Kentucky is harder to compare directly. The Hilltoppers went 37-18 overall and 14-8 in the Sun Belt. Their RPI (46) and strength of schedule (105) were nothing special, and they finished the season by going 4-6.

Bottom line: Auburn just didn't do enough. It's hard to justify an argument for making the NCAA field when you fail to qualify for your own conference tournament, even if the SEC, statistically, was the No. 1 conference nationally this season. Also consider this: fron April 11 to the end of the season, the Tigers went 8-15 overall and 4-13 in the conference. If you look at it that way, it's easy to see why the committee didn't choose Auburn.

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