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Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Looking forward to 2010: Secondary

We're approaching the finish line with these position-by-position breakdowns. So far we've done quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers/tight ends, offensive line, defensive line and linebackers.

Now for the secondary...

(Just as soon as you follow the blog on Twitter)

WHO'S GONE?
  • Starters: Walt McFadden
  • Reserves: None
WHO'S COMING BACK?
  • Seniors: Demond Washington, Zac Etheridge (maybe), Aairon Savage (maybe)
  • Juniors: Neiko Thorpe, Mike McNeil, D'Antoine Hood, Drew Cole, Mike Slade
  • Sophomores: Daren Bates, T'Sharvan Bell, Anthony Gulley (maybe)
  • Redshirt Freshmen: None
  • Incoming freshmen: Demetruce McNeal, Jonathan Mincy, Chris Davis, Ryan White
No group on the team was as patched together by the end of the Outback Bowl as the secondary. The unit took its hits throughout the year -- starting with McNeil's broken leg last spring, continuing with Savages' Achilles' tear in the summer and peaking with Etheridge's neck injury against Ole Miss -- and still somehow pulled through at the end against Northwestern. Granted it had given up over 500 passing yards by that point, but the outcome is the important part, right?

Although there remain plenty of question marks next year, 2010 will at least provide a fresh start. It remains unknown how the injured players will return next year. McNeil practiced by the end of last year, so it appears he is not a concern, but Savage and Etheridge's comebacks are up in the air. Savage, who has suffered season-ending knee and Achilles' injuries the last two seasons, would need to apply and receive a medical hardship and then, toughest of all, return from an Achillles' injury. That's not easy. Tez Doolittle made it seem like it was a few years ago, but that's not the norm, especially for a skill position that requires as much cutting and shifting as cornerback/safety. I remain skeptical if he can shake off this latest setback.

Etheridge is another concern. He said he would like to return to the field shortly after the injury. Of course, he said that while wearing a neck brace that restricted him from moving his head form side-to-side. He has to wear the brace for four months, which would last until March. If you heard Etheridge speak, you wouldn't doubt that he would be back on the field. But neck injuries are a serious thing. Not just in a football sense; in a life sense. It's not something you can overcome without less than 100 percent certainty. I've seen someone who had a similar injury (Virginia safety Nate Lyles) return the following year and play decently, but the fact of the matter is it's a big question mark right now.

So who do we know will be back? Well, Thorpe shook off a few difficult games during the season to finish strong in the bowl game, reaching double digit tackles, including one on the Wildcats' final play, a fumblerooski, that preserved the win. Coaches think he has All-SEC potential. At the other corner, you would figure Washington moves back from safety. He showed a knack for being able to perform at any position he played last year and was gaining confidence in his pass defense skills before moving to safety. Losing McFadden's leadership is undoubtedly a concern, but Thorpe and Washington at least give Auburn two experienced starting corners, which is all you can really ask for.

Nobody outperformed expectations as much as Bates, the least-heralded member of the 2009 recruiting class but its most productive in his first season (funny how that works, huh?). He started every game and there's no reason to believe he won't continue to in the upcoming years. I can't see coaches taking the job away from him to give it back to McNeil. The question is who will start beside him. If Etheridge makes a complete return, he would likely get the nod. He was the unquestioned team leader of the secondary before his injury, someone teammates called a coach on the field. McNeil provides another good option, given his experience and physical attributes. If all three return, I can definitely see the possibility of a rotation among them, a luxury Auburn was never afforded last season.

The rest of the group will fill the gaps. Bell showed signs of life for the first time in the Outback Bowl, making two interceptions. Hood, who battled an ankle injury for most of the year, looked like he took a step back from his freshman year. Cole and Slade appear to be last-resort options. But let's not rule out Gulley, who could get lost in the wide receiver shuffle and might be able to better help the team on defense. Coaches seemed impressed by his ability to immediately catch on at everything he tried.

If all the players come back as expected, that's a fairly deep crew. (I have three "maybes" listed, and that's not including a guy who missed all of last season with a broken leg.) If not -- and really, there's a definite possibility -- it might be another year of playing newcomers and patching things together on a weekly basis.

7 comments:

JoeinFP said...

Reading your article I think we are of the same mind set, that in 2010 we should have four fairly strong starters with questions behind them. But look at how heavy we are with Juniors and Seniors. Frankly I’m unimpressed with this year’s signees even if you include D J Howard at safety. I hope we can snag a blue chipper before signing day or for the next few years look for Auburn to be dipping into the JUCO ranks for experienced DB’s.

Marmot said...

JFP, I would agree that our current safety recruits look unimpressive (McNeal seems like the weak member of this class... sorry if your reading this DM... prove me very wrong) but there are hints that most of these guys are who our staff wants, particularly at DB. There were several potential DBs on our radar about 4 weeks ago including 4* Rashad Knight and they were clearly passed over for Chris Davis and Ryan White (even if you argue that it was Knight's lack of interest that forced our staff to move on, since when has this staff ever given up on someone they wanted). Mincy and White's offer lists are pretty solid indicating that we aren't the only ones seeing potential there. Chris Davis is the true diamond in the rough that only South Carolina seemed to notice (same with McNeal). But they took Davis before White and guys like Knight and Bradley Roby (who they had been recruiting for a while). Thats a long way of saying we will know a lot about Team Chizik's DB evaluation abilities in a couple of years. No real reason to be disappointed yet except lack of subjective stars.

JoeinFP said...

Marmot, to your point, both Rivals and Scout had Daren Bates as a two star unranked player and now, if he stays health, he may end up starting 50+ games for Auburn at Safety! Both White and Davis have speed to burn which the corners desperately need and Howard’s physical play makes him ideal at safety. I’m sure the coaches see something that they like and are not just grabbing warm bodies. If these or Mincy or McNeal blossom into stars, great, otherwise in 2011 and ’12 these positions will be full of question marks.

Andy thanks for your good work so we can follow the team in depth!

Anonymous said...

I think it all boils down to whether or not Bell and Hood can give us quality depth. If they can we'll be just fine. If not, could be some more patch work going on back there.

If i had to guess etheridge will be sitting out next year take a redshirt and try and make a comback in 2011. I have serious doubts about Savage returning. Even if he is healthy, he's been away from football for two years and it'll be tough for him to catch back on I would think. Hope he comes back though cause he was one of our best a couple years ago. War Eagle!!

Unknown said...

No one here is qualified to question Chizik's evaluations of CBs...After all it was Chizik that found Asante Samuel at a camp, offer him on the spot, and coached him for 4 years in college...And I thought that McNeal was a weak point also, until I saw him play...He loves to hit...Plus when McNeal committed he said "The coaches told me they are only taking one safety" so they must value him.


Link to the Samuels article

http://www.philadelphiaeagles.com/news/Story.asp?story_id=15930

Andy Bitter said...

All great points on here. Chizik does have a great track record in recruiting and developing DBs. And nobody thought much of Daren Bates at this time last year. Seems like the coaches know what they're doing in that regard (even if some of them were probably as surprised about Bates as everyone else was).

Jerrod Moll said...

I think out starting 4 will be good but we lack depth...

I doubt Savage plays again and if he does he won't be the same player. Etheridge might can play but will the coaching staff want to risk it is probably a good question.

I hope we have another Bates come in and step up.