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Friday, November 14, 2008

Auburn-Georgia preview

The Ledger-Enquirer teamed up with the Macon Telegraph again for tomorrow's paper, breaking down the Auburn-Georgia game position-by-position. I handled the Auburn half of the breakdown. Macon's David Hale handled the Georgia half.

Here's what we came up with (note: these are the advantages that I came up with):

Quarterback
  • Auburn: Since assuming the starting job, Kodi Burns has shown glimpses of his vast potential. He threw for 319 yards at Ole Miss, then ran for 158 yards against UT Martin last week. But the sophomore still struggles with his reads at times (he threw three picks at Ole Miss) and has yet to face a defense of Georgia's caliber.
  • Georgia: Matthew Stafford is coming off one of the best performances of his career, having thrown for 376 yards and three touchdowns against Kentucky last week. His ability to make quick throws, avoid pressure and get the ball downfield have helped Georgia overcome a bevy of offensive line issues this season.
  • Advantage: Georgia
Running backs
  • Auburn: The fact that Burns has been the team's leading rusher in three of the last four games speaks volumes about Auburn's inability to run the ball. Normally a strong suit, the Tigers haven't been able to settle on one back all year, spreading carries among Brad Lester, Ben Tate and Mario Fannin. Fannin, a sophomore, might start because of his big-play ability.
  • Georgia: On his first carry of the game last week, Knowshon Moreno became just the second running back in school history with consecutive 1,000-yard seasons. He has 1,113 yards and 15 touchdowns this season. Fullbacks Brannan Southerland and Shaun Chapas are among the best blocking backs in the SEC and are also scoring threats in the red zone.
  • Advantage: Georgia
Wide receivers/Tight ends
  • Auburn: Auburn has plenty of bodies here but no standouts. Rod Smith, a No. 1 target by default, leads the Tigers with 283 receiving yards. Robert Dunn, a backup, leads the team with two touchdown receptions. Tight end Tommy Trott (20 catches, 201 yards) is turning into a nice safety valve for Burns.
  • GEORGIA: Senior Mohamed Massaquoi and freshman A.J. Green are easily the SEC’s top pass-catching duo. Green leads the conference in receiving yards, while Massaquoi reeled in a career-best 191 yards a week ago. Both rank among the top 10 in the SEC in catches and yards.
  • Advantage: Georgia
Offensive line
  • Auburn: A supposed strength heading into the year, Auburn's line has instead been a major liability. The Tigers returned four starters but have struggled to find the nasty streak that made them so effective in the past. Senior center Jason Bosley is banged up all over, but will still start.
  • Georgia: Georgia’s line has held up well, allowing just 13 sacks this season, despite a nearly constant barrage of injuries. Right tackle Justin Anderson will miss the game – the fourth starter to miss time this year – and Josh Davis is likely to get the start in his place. Freshman center Ben Jones earned SEC lineman of the week honors after helping Georgia tally 520 yards of offense against Kentucky.
  • Advantage: Push
Defensive line
  • Auburn: Back from injury are tackle Sen'Derrick Marks and end Antonio Coleman, two all-SEC candidates, and veteran nose guard Tez Doolittle. The trio has combined for 88 tackles, 24½ tackles for a loss and 8½ sacks this year, and should shore up a run defense that was trampled by West Virginia (271 yards) and Ole Miss (233 yards).
  • Georgia: The Bulldogs’ interior linemen, Corvey Irvin and Geno Atkins, have been their strength. Both have gotten consistent pressure on the quarterback and helped to shut down opposing runners between the tackles. The defensive ends, however, have struggled, failing to get sacks and allowing three straight opponents to run for more than 160 yards.
  • Advantage: Auburn
Linebackers
  • Auburn: Tray Blackmon's season-ending wrist surgery but Auburn in a bind, but sophomore Josh Bynes has been outstanding in his place, with 44 tackles, 2 TFLs and 3 interceptions in essentially six games. Merrill Johnson, who has 40 tackles and 6½ TFLs will play despite breaking his hand last week. He, Craig Stevens and Chris Evans have been steady contributors on the outside.
  • Georgia: Rennie Curran recorded a career-high 15 tackles last week and now leads the SEC with 89 takedowns. He also leads the team with three sacks. Senior Dannell Ellerbe played his first full game last week after suffering a knee injury against Alabama, and sophomore Darryl Gamble has two interceptions and is third on the team with 54 tackles.
  • Advantage: Push
Secondary
  • Auburn: For the first time in weeks, Auburn's secondary appears to be healthy, with starter Jerraud Powers (hamstring) and nickel back Neiko Thorpe (ankle) both ready to go. Excluding last week, the Tigers haven't surrendered many yards through the air (175.3 per game), but they've given up 15 passing touchdowns. Only two SEC teams have allowed more.
  • Georgia: For the first time all season, Georgia held an opponent without a passing touchdown last week. Still, the Bulldogs rank 10th in the SEC in passing defense, allowing an average of 206 yards per game through the air. Safety Reshad Jones is Georgia’s second leading tackler and his three interceptions are tops on the team.
  • Advantage: Push
Special teams
  • Auburn: Tristan Davis leads a kick return unit that ranks third in the nation, Auburn leads the SEC in net punting and Dunn, while prone to mistakes, is capable of breaking a big play. At place-kicker, Wes Byrum has struggled all year, but the sophomore went 3-for-4 last week, with makes from 48 and 44 yards.
  • Georgia: Georgia’s special teams have been up and down all season, but last week’s performance against Kentucky was a low point. The Bulldogs had one punt blocked and another that netted just 18 yards before bouncing out of bounds. They also allowed a 94-yard kick return and struggled in their own return game. Kicker Blair Walsh has missed five of his last eight field-goal attempts.
  • Advantage: Auburn
Coaching
  • Auburn: Despite the team's recent struggles, head coach Tommy Tuberville has still won 85 games in his nine-plus seasons on the Plains, with a 12-6 record against ranked teams since 2004. But his expertise is not offense, and the Tigers haven't had any consistency on that side of the ball this season, first under offensive coordinator Tony Franklin and now under tight ends coach Steve Ensminger.
  • Georgia: Head coach Mark Richt won his 80th career game at Georgia last week, becoming just the sixth coach in history with that many wins in his first eight seasons at a school. He is 4-3 in his seven meetings against Auburn, including a 2-1 mark at Jordan-Hare. Assistants Rodney Garner and Stacy Searels are both Auburn alums.
  • Advantage: Georgia
Wild card
  • Auburn: Never underestimate the motivation of a team whose pride has been wounded. Auburn's season went in the tank long ago, but the Tigers still hold the Georgia and Alabama games in high regard and need a win in one of their final two games to keep a nine-year bowl streak alive. Also, last year's Soulja Boy episode in Athens didn't sit well with many Auburn players, and they've vowed not to forget that when they take the field Saturday. "That got to me," Smith said. "This is the game that's been marked on my calendar since last year."
  • Georgia: After Kentucky’s freshman quarterback gashed them for 82 yards and three touchdowns last week, Georgia’s defense held a players-only meeting in an attempt to refocus on their final two regular-season games. For three straight weeks, the Bulldogs have allowed 38 points or more – the first time that has happened in more than a century – but the players vowed they would have a different attitude this week. “Georgia’s main goal is to just get our swagger back and have fun,” Irvin said. “We’ve got to punish, man. We’ve got to punish. That’s it.”
  • Advantage: Auburn
The verdict
  • Bitter: If there's one type of game Auburn is not equipped to win, it's a high-scoring affair. Georgia, which was the preseason No. 1 team in the country, is as good of an offense as the Tigers have faced this year, having scored 30 or more points in six games this year. Auburn has topped 30 points just twice – against Louisiana-Monroe in the opener and last week against a school from the Football Championship Subdivision. The only way the Tigers can pull of the upset is if they keep the score down, sustain drives to keep Georgia's high-powered offense off the field and make a tide-turning play on defense or special teams. That's a lot of "ifs." Prediction: Georgia 34-13.
  • Hale: After last week’s debacle in Kentucky, the defense is angry and wants to put on a showcase performance against an Auburn team that has struggled to move the football at times. The Tigers have a mobile quarterback in Burns, however, and Georgia has struggled against similar runners in the past, including last week. This is a classic example of a game Georgia should win as long as it doesn’t beat itself. Stafford has a chance to become the first Bulldogs quarterback to beat Auburn in three straight games since Johnny Rauch in the mid-1940s, and with Auburn returning three defensive linemen from injury, Georgia’s offensive success may rest on his arm and ability to escape pressure. Prediction: Georgia 24-14.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Correction...Auburn scored over 30 twice. First against La. Monroe and again last week. Just thought you should know.